23
Jan
PIERRE-OLIVIER GOURINCHAS We project global growth will remain steady at 3.3% this year and next, broadly aligned with potential growth that has substantially weakened since before the pandemic. Inflation is declining, to 4.2% this year and 3.5% next year, in a return to central bank targets that will allow further normalisation of monetary policy. This will help draw to a close the global disruptions of recent years, including the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which precipitated the largest inflation surge in four decades. Though the global growth outlook is broadly unchanged from October, divergences across countries are widening. Among…
